人民长江 ›› 2022, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (6): 14-19.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2022.06.002

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澜湄水资源合作路径研究

李浩;赵登忠   

  • 发布日期:2022-08-09

Study on prevention mode of mountain torrent disaster in Nam Ou River Basin, Laos

ZHANG Zhihua1, 2, CUI Hao1,2, XU Wensheng1, 2, HUANG Jinquan1, 2, DU Jun1, 2   

  • Published:2022-08-09

摘要: 水资源合作是澜湄合作机制的旗舰领域。澜湄水资源合作需要明确不同阶段和不同条件下的合作边界和行动方案。以澜湄水资源合作中的节点性历史事件为研究对象,在构建跨境水合作“动因-阶段”分析框架的基础上,结合澜湄流域国家水资源合作的需求,对现有合作阶段进行了定位,并提出了未来合作的主要内容和实现路径。结果表明:(1)当前澜湄水资源合作仍处于协调合作的初级阶段。在该阶段,未来澜湄流域6国需要进一步在分享管理技术、共享流域信息、深化产能合作、协调利益冲突等领域拓展合作。(2)在协同合作阶段,澜湄流域6国可开展共同监测、联合评估、流域规划制定、水库联合调度等方面的合作。(3)在联合行动阶段,澜湄流域6国可通过共同实施流域控制性水利工程,全面提升全流域粮食、能源、环境、经济和政治安全水平。

关键词: 水资源合作;协调合作;协同合作;联合行动;合作路径;澜沧江-湄公河流域;

Abstract: Nearly 80% area of the Nam Ou River Basin in Laos is plateau and high mountains, where the annual rainfall is abundant and mountain torrent disasters occur frequently. Due to the imperfect prevention system of mountain torrent disasters in Laos, mountain torrent disasters often cause heavy casualties and property losses. It is necessary to preliminarily establish a mountain torrent disasters prevention mode in Nam Ou River Basin, Laos. In this paper, the division of vulnerability zones and reasons of mountain torrent disasters in Nam Ou River Basin were analyzed. The graphic layer algorithms of FFPI and CN were used to analyze the risk distribution of mountain torrent disasters. The prevention mode of mountain torrent disasters in the Nam Ou River Basin was proposed according to the non-engineering measures such as the water and rain monitoring equipment and the early-warning system of mountain torrent disasters. The results showed that the area of medium-high vulnerability area accounted for 54.3% of the total area in the Nam Ou River Basin, especially the Ph?ngsali Province in the northern area had the most severe vulnerability. The risk distribution of mountain torrent disasters gradually decreased from northwest to southeast. The research results can provide scientific and technical support for the construction of mountain torrent disasters monitoring, pre-warning, and prevention systems in Laos.

Key words: mountain torrent disaster; monitoring and early-warning; prevention mode; Nam Ou River Basin; Laos