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基于改进信息熵的江苏滆湖水质分布规律研究

龚慧,纪海婷,李骏,国静,邵飞燕   

  • 出版日期:2019-03-28 发布日期:2019-03-28

Analysis on spatial and temporal distribution of water quality of Gehu Lake in Jiangsu Province based on improved information entropy theory

GONG Hui, JI Haiting, LI Jun, GUO Jing, SHAO Feiyan   

  • Online:2019-03-28 Published:2019-03-28

摘要: 为得出近年来江苏滆湖水质变化趋势,基于2008~2016年近9 a的长期水质实测资料,分析了不同水质指标的年际与年内变化趋势,并发出100份问卷,根据专家经验得到主观权重,根据信息熵理论得到客观权重,最终基于综合权重构建了新型水质综合评价模型,并对滆湖不同分区的水质进行了评价。结果表明:不同水质指标近9 a均呈总体降低趋势,在2008年之后出现显著降低,原因可能是由于近年治理措施取得了良好效果,但缓冲区水质指标普遍高于其余区域,最高高出了37.2%;不同水质指标年内变化呈先减小后增加的趋势,在11月至次年2月水质普遍较差;基于新型水质综合评价模型,分析了滆湖不同分区的水质类别,发现核心区与开发控制利用区属于Ⅲ类水,而缓冲区水质属于Ⅳ类水,水质较差,需及时制定相应措施改善缓冲区水质。研究得出的结论符合实际数据观测情况与当地实际情况,表明该模型具有一定的科学性和使用价值,可为当地水质治理措施的制定提供科学依据。

关键词: 水质时空分布, 问卷调查, 综合权重, 新型水质综合评价模型, 滆湖, 江苏省

Abstract: In order to get the trend of water quality change of Gehu Lake in Jiangsu Province in recent years and construct a new comprehensive water quality assessment model for the region, the inter-annual and annual variation trends of different water quality indicators were analyzed based on the long-term water quality data from 2008 to 2016. We issued 100 questionnaires and got the subjective weight based on the expert's experience and objective weight based on information entropy theory. According to the comprehensive weight, a new comprehensive water quality assessment model was built to assess the water quality in different zones of Gehu Lake. The result showed that: various water quality indicators in the 9 years all presented downward trend, especially a significant reduction after 2008, the possible reasons being the good management in recent years. The water quality indicators in buffer zone were generally higher than the rest of the lake and with 37.2% higher in maximum. The annual variation of different water quality indicators showed a trend of decreasing first and then increasing. The water quality was generally poorer from November to February. Based on the new model, the water quality of different zones was analyzed. The water in core zone and development and utilization control zone belonged to class Ⅲ and the water in buffer zone belonged to class Ⅳ. The measures were needed to be developed to improve the water quality. The analysis results are accordance with the observed data and the local practical condition, showing the model has scientific and practical value and can provide a scientific basis to assess the water quality of the region.

Key words: spatial and temporal distribution of water quality, questionnaire, comprehensive weight, new comprehensive assessment model of water quality, Gehu Lake, Jiangsu Province