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基于对应分析模型的建筑施工高处坠落主因挖掘

宋少卿,韩建军   

  • 出版日期:2019-03-28 发布日期:2019-03-28

Analysis on main causes of falling accidents in high buildingsconstruction based on correspondence analysis model

SONG Shaoqing, HAN Jianjun   

  • Online:2019-03-28 Published:2019-03-28

摘要: 为确定建筑施工高处坠落事故发生的主因,基于人因失误理论框架(HFACS),提出了高处坠落致因集体系,揭示事故样本因子与事故致因因子之间的对应关系。首先分析高处坠落事故发生条件,建立事故致因框架;根据事故与致因因素之间的因果关系,确定事故样本与致因因素列联表。应用对应分析原理,对样本因子与致因因子进行多元统计分析,在二维平面描述样本点与致因点之间的关联关系。依据样本点集聚趋势,利用圆覆盖法建立典型样本点识别函数,确定典型样本点,进而基于致因点与典型样本点对应关系,提出高处坠落事故主因判断准则,确定高处坠落事故的主要成因。最后,收集建筑工程施工高处坠落事故报告20例,应用上述方法进行实证研究。结果表明,教育培训不充分、班组管理差等7类致因因素为高处坠落主成因。该方法可为制定精细化高处坠落事故预防措施提供指导。

关键词: 建筑施工, 高处坠落, 对应分析模型, 圆覆盖法, 主因分析

Abstract: In order to determine the main causes of falling accidents in high building s construction, we put forward a causation set system for falling accidents based on HFACS, and reveal the corresponding relations between accident sample cases and causations. We determined some prerequisite conditions for falling accidents and built a causation framework; then constructed a contingency table between accident samples and some causative factors based on causal relationship between accidents and causes. Applying the principles of CAM, we described relationship between sample points and causes after carrying out multivariate statistical analysis on sample cases and causative factors of a two-dimensional plane. According to the clustering characteristic of sample points, a typical sample point identification function was established using Circular Cover Method (CCM) to ascertain typical sample points; and we further put forward criteria for determining the main causes and conducted an empirical study according to the corresponding relationship between causal points and typical sample points. We chose twenty cases from construction falling accidents report, and they were all verified by CAM. The results show that there are seven factors (e.g. insufficient education and training, poor team management) contributing to falling accidents in building construction.

Key words: building construction, falling accident, correspondence analysis model, circular cover method, main cause analysis