人民长江 ›› 2021, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (4): 107-115.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2021.04.017

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基于TRMM降水数据的不同时间尺度降水特征分析——以内蒙古地区为例

刘月璇, 于红博, 张巧凤, 马梓策   

  • 出版日期:2021-04-28 发布日期:2021-05-28

Analysis on precipitation characteristics of Inner Mongolia at different time scales based on TRMM precipitation data

LIU Yuexuan, YU Hongbo, ZHANG Qiaofeng, MA Zice   

  • Online:2021-04-28 Published:2021-05-28

摘要: 为全面细致地研究内蒙古地区降水的时空变化,利用2001~2018年气象站实测的降水数据对TRMM 3B43 V7降水产品进行精度评估,并基于TRMM数据采用Sen-MK检验和变异系数法对内蒙古地区进行降水时空特征分析。结果表明:(1)月、季、年尺度TRMM降水数据与气象站点实测数据之间呈显著正相关,拟合优度均达到0.85(P<0.01)以上,具有较好的一致性。(2)在时间分布上,年降水量介于228.95~403.80 mm之间,多年平均值为301.59 mm,近18 a降水量呈上升趋势,上升速率为44.96 mm/(10 a),2011年是降水累积量由下降至上升的转折点。除了春季,其余季节的降水均呈上升趋势,其中夏季和秋季是年降水量增加的主要贡献者。(3)在空间分布上,降水量由内蒙古的东北向西南呈条带状逐渐减少,大部分地区降水有增加的趋势。降水量减小的地区主要位于西部的阿拉善高原,且其降水波动最为剧烈,东部降水量变化较为均衡。四季降水量呈增加趋势的面积均高于呈减小趋势的面积,其中,夏季降水量呈显著增加趋势的面积为四季中最大。

关键词: 降水量; 精度评估; 时空分析; TRMM; 内蒙古地区;

Abstract: In order to comprehensively and carefully study the spatio-temporal variation of precipitation in Inner Mongolia, the accuracy of TRMM 3 b43 V7 precipitation product is evaluated by using the precipitation data measured by meteorological stations from 2001 to 2018,and the Sen-MK test and coefficient of variation method are used to analyze the spatial and temporal characteristics of precipitation in Inner Mongolia.The results show that there is a significant positive correlation between the TRMM precipitation data and the measured data from meteorological stations at the monthly, annual, and seasonal scales.The fit goodness is above 0.85(P<0.01),which has good consistency.In terms of time distribution, the annual precipitation is between 228.95 and 403.80 mm, with a multi-year average of 301.59 mm.The precipitation has increased in the past 18 years, and the increase rate is 44.96 mm/10 a.In 2011,the accumulated precipitation changes from a downward trend to an upward trend.Except spring, the precipitation in other seasons shows an upward trend, the summer and autumn are the main contributors to the increase of annual precipitation.In terms of spatial distribution, the precipitation decreases gradually from the northeast to the southwest of Inner Mongolia, however precipitation increases in most regions.The area of reduced precipitation is mainly located in the Alxa Plateau in the west, where precipitation fluctuations are the most severe, and the change of precipitation in the east is more balanced.The area with an increasing precipitation in four seasons is higher than that with a decreasing trend.Among them, the area with a significant increasing precipitation in summer is the largest in the four seasons.

Key words: precipitation; accuracy evaluation; spatio-temporal analysis; TRMM; Inner Mongolia region;