人民长江 ›› 2021, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (6): 30-35.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2021.06.006

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基于模态分解法的长江与两湖水沙特征分析

黄莹华, 万迪文, 丁玉堂   

  • 发布日期:2021-07-23

Analysis on runoff and sediment load in Changjiang River, Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake based on modal decomposition method

HUANG Yinghua, WAN Diwen, DING Yutang   

  • Published:2021-07-23

摘要: 为研究长江和洞庭湖、鄱阳湖的水沙变化,利用模态分解方法(Welch能谱法及本征正交分解POD法),对长江和两湖中19个主要水文站1956~2018年的水沙序列变化特征进行分析。结果表明:长江和两湖的径流序列中,存在明显的8 a和20 a周期震荡。利用POD法分析得到的长江和鄱阳湖的径流变化率分别为2%~10%和10%~20%;而输沙变化率都接近90%。洞庭湖的水沙变化率要远远大于长江和鄱阳湖,其中荆江三口水沙变化率在140%以上。

关键词: 径流量;输沙量;模态分解;长江;洞庭湖;鄱阳湖;

Abstract: In order to analyze trend of annual runoff and sediment load in the Changjiang River and its two river-connected lakes, Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake, we adopted modal decomposition method to extract variation characteristic of 19 major hydrological stations in the Changjiang River, Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake during 1956~2018.The results showed that predominant periods of 8 and 20 years were discovered in the runoff series.On the basis of the principal component(capturing more than roughly 90% total energy),total change ratios of runoff and sediment loads during the last 63 years were evaluated.For the runoff, absolute total change ratios were 2%~10% and 10%~20% for the Changjiang River and Poyang Lake respectively; while for the sediment load, they were around 90%.However, the change rate of flow and sediment in Dongting Lake were much larger, especially for the three outlets on the Jingjiang River reach(over 140%).

Key words: runoff; sediment load; modal decomposition; Changjiang River; Dongting Lake; Poyang Lake;