关键词: 滑坡位移; 相关系数; 新陈代谢法; 组合预测模型; 黄茨滑坡; 新滩滑坡;

Abstract: Aiming at the problem that the accuracy of conventional combined prediction model in landslide displacement prediction decreases too fast, starting from the combined prediction model based on correlation coefficient, a metabolic theory was applied to propose a metabolic combined prediction model for landslide displacement based on correlation coefficient.The corresponding calculation formula were defined and deduced, and the prediction effect of the model was evaluated by introducing the prediction evaluation index system.Through two examples of Huangci landslide and Xintan landslide, the verified results showed that the prediction evaluation index of the metabolic combined prediction model for landslide displacement based on correlation coefficient was better than the single prediction model and the combined prediction model based on correlation coefficient.

Key words: landslide displacement; correlation coefficient; metabolic theory; combined prediction model; Huangci landslide; Xintan Landslide;