关键词: 干旱灾害;风险评估;风险区划;AHP-熵权法;山东省;

Abstract: In order to improve the risk assessment and emergency management capacity of drought disasters in Shandong Province and reduce drought losses, according to the natural disaster risk theory and considering the influencing factors of drought disaster, this paper selects evaluation indicators from four aspects of hazard, sensitivity, vulnerability, prevention and mitigation capacity.And we use the AHP-entropy weight method to determine the indicator weights, construct a drought disaster risk index model, and draw a drought disaster risk zoning map of Shandong Province.The results of the risk zoning indicate that the high-risk areas for disaster-causing factors are located in the northwest of Shandong Province.The areas with high value of the sensitivity of disaster-inducing environment are mainly located in the central and eastern regions.The vulnerability of disaster-bearing bodies decreases from Yangxin County, Wenshang County, Lingcheng District, Caoxian County, Jiaxiang County and Ningyang County in a descending order.The disaster prevention and mitigation capacity is from high to low as Fushan District, Longkou City, Rongcheng City, Huangdao District and Kenli District.From the drought risk zoning map, it can be seen that the comprehensive risk of drought generally shows a gradual increase from east to west.

Key words: drought disaster; risk assessment; risk zoning; AHP-entropy weight method; Shandong Province;