人民长江 ›› 2023, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (3): 111-116.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2023.03.017

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基于RF-EWM的滑坡易发性与城镇化耦合协调性研究

何清芸;牟凤云;黄淇;陈建坤;李云燕;   

  • 出版日期:2023-03-28 发布日期:2023-04-03

Coupling and coordination analysis on landslide susceptibility and urbanization based on RF-EWM model

HE Qingyun MU Fengyun HUANG Qi CHEN Jiankun LI Yunyan   

  • Online:2023-03-28 Published:2023-04-03

摘要: 为了定量化揭示滑坡与城镇发展水平的内在规律,促进城镇高质量发展,选取指标构建滑坡易发性与城镇发展水平评价体系,基于RF-EWM和耦合协调度模型进行2015~2019年重庆市中心城区滑坡易发性、城镇发展水平时空分布分析和耦合协调性分析。结果表明:(1)重庆市中心城区滑坡易发性及区域滑坡易发性差异整体上呈下降趋势。(2) 2015年和2019年重庆市中心城区除渝中区外其余8个区城镇发展水平均低于0.4,区域间城镇发展水平差异大。(3) 2015年和2019年重庆市城镇发展水平与滑坡易发性之间耦合度均高于0.5,相互作用关系强;耦合协调度均高于0.4,处于协调阶段;大渡口区、九龙坡区、北碚区和巴南区等地区耦合协调度呈降低的趋势。研究结果可为重庆市滑坡防治及城市发展工作提供参考。

关键词: 滑坡易发性;城镇发展水平;耦合协调度;随机森林;重庆市中心城区;

Abstract: In order to quantitatively reveal the inherent law of landslide susceptibility and urban development level and promote the high-quality development of cities and towns, we constructed an evaluation system by selecting several indicators, and analyzed the spatial and temporal distribution and coupling coordination of landslide susceptibility and urban development level in central urban area of Chongqing City in 2015 and 2019 based on RF-EWM model and coupling coordination model.The results showed that:(1)The landslide susceptibility and regional landslide susceptibility differences in Chongqing′s central urban area showed an overall downward trend.(2)In 2015 and 2019,the urban development levels of the eight districts in the central urban area of Chongqing City were lower than 0.4 except Yuzhong District, and the difference of urban development level between regions was large.(3)In 2015 and 2019,the coupling degree between urban development level and landslide susceptibility in Chongqing City was higher than 0.5,with strong interaction relationship; the coupling coordination degree was higher than 0.4,which was in the coordination stage; and the the coupling coordination degree of Dadukou District, Jiulongpo District, Beibei District and Banan District showed a decreasing trend.The research results can provide reference for landslide prevention and urban development in Chongqing City.

Key words: landslide susceptibility; urban development level; coupling coordination degree; random forest; central urban area of Chongqing City;