人民长江 ›› 2023, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (5): 2-11.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2023.05.001

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长江经济带水-能-粮流通及压力变化特征分析

王红瑞;王洪冲;赵伟静;申立杰;张力;   

  • 发布日期:2023-06-05

Analysis on characteristics of water-energy-food circulation and pressure changes in the Changjiang River Economic Belt

WANG Hongrui WANG Hongchong ZHAO Weijing SHEN Lijie ZHANG Li   

  • Published:2023-06-05

摘要: 为促进长江经济带绿色可持续发展,实现区域资源优化配置,基于多区域投入产出模型,计算了2012年及2017年长江经济带区域9省2市的虚拟水、虚拟能和虚拟粮流通量,并在此基础上构建了水、能源、粮食以及水-能源-粮食系统压力指数用以分析长江经济带水-能-粮的流通、压力及其变化特征。研究结果表明:长江经济带区域虚拟水、虚拟能及虚拟粮在2012年以及2017年均呈现净流出,虚拟水和虚拟能净流出量减少,虚拟粮净流出量增加,虚拟资源流通格局与其资源分布不协调。长江经济带各省市2012年水资源压力较2017年变化不大,而能源、粮食以及水-能源-粮食系统压力呈现增加的趋势。2017年压力分布格局与2012年基本一致,下游地区较中上游地区压力更大。因此,长江经济带中上游地区应该充分利用好自身的资源禀赋,加强与下游地区的贸易流通,实现区域资源的合理分配。

关键词: 长江经济带;水-能-粮;流通;压力;多区域投入产出表;

Abstract: In order to promote the green and sustainable development of the Changjiang River Economic Belt and realize the optimal allocation of regional resources, based on the multi-regional input-output model, this paper calculated the virtual water, virtual energy and virtual food circulation in 9 provinces and 2 municipal cities in the Changjiang River Economic Belt in 2012 and 2017.On this basis, the water, energy, food and water-energy-food system pressure indices were constructed to analyze the water-energy-food circulation and pressure and its change characteristics in the Changjiang River Economic Belt.The results show that the virtual water, virtual energy and virtual food in the Changjiang River Economic Belt showed a net outflow in 2012 and 2017,the net outflow of virtual water and virtual energy decreased, the net outflow of virtual food increased, indicating that the distribution of virtual resources were not coordinated with their distribution.The water pressure in the provinces and municipal cities in the Changjiang River Economic Belt did not change much in 2012 compared with that in 2017,while the pressure on energy, food and water-energy-food systems showed an increasing trend.The pressure distribution pattern in 2017 was basically the same as that in 2012,and the downstream area was more stressed than that in the middle and upper reaches.Therefore, provinces and municipal cities in the middle and upper reaches should make full use of their own resource endowments, strengthen the trade flow with the lower reaches, and realize the rational distribution of resources.

Key words: Changjiang River Economic Belt; water-energy-food; circulation; pressure; multi-regional input-output table;