人民长江 ›› 2023, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (6): 95-102.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2023.06.014

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沅江流域产水服务功能的时空变化及驱动力分析

彭赤彬 钱湛 姜恒 李峰   

  • 发布日期:2023-07-10

Spatial-temporal variation and driving force analysis of water production service function in Yuanjiang River Basin

PENG Chibin QIAN Zhan JIANG Heng LI Feng   

  • Published:2023-07-10

摘要: 沅江流域是重要的水生态环境服务载体,研究其生态系统产水服务功能的时空分布特征及相关驱动因素,对沅江流域水资源的保护与管理,实现沅江流域的高质量发展和生态环境保护具有重要意义。基于InVEST模型的产水模块对2000~2020年沅江流域的产水量进行模拟,并从自然和人为活动两个方面选取降雨量、温度、植被覆盖度、人口密度、地方生产总值5个指标识别沅江流域产水服务功能时空演变的重要驱动因素。结果表明:(1) 2000~2020年沅江流域城镇化加剧,建设用地面积显著增加,且增加的建设用地面积主要来自林地和耕地面积的转化;林地与耕地间转换活跃。(2) 2000~2020年沅江流域产水量处于增长状态,产水深度总体未呈现出一致的空间分布格局。(3)对2015年产水量做驱动分析可知,降水量和NDVI是引起产水服务功能空间差异的主导因子;降水量、温度等5项驱动因子两两之间均呈非线性增强,表明其间的交互作用增强了对产水生态服务功能空间差异的解释程度。总体而言,自然因素和人为因素共同影响沅江流域产水服务功能的时空变化,时间尺度上土地利用的变化对产水量的增加也有一定的影响。研究结果可为沅江流域科学合理的管理、水源地生态环境的可持续发展提供科学依据。

关键词: InVEST模型;土地利用变化;产水量;驱动因素;沅江流域;

Abstract: The Yuanjiang River Basin is an important carrier of water ecological and environmental services.It is of great significance to study the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and related driving factors of the ecosystem water service function in Yuanjiang River Basin for the protection and management of water resources, the realization of high quality development and the protection of ecological environment in this basin.Water production module based on InVEST model was used to simulate the water production of Yuanjiang River Basin from 2000 to 2020.Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(NDVI) was selected from two aspects of natural and human activities.NDVI,population density and Gross Domestic Product(GDP) were used to identify the important driving factors of spatio-temporal evolution of water production service function in Yuanjiang River Basin.The results showed that:(1) Urbanization intensified in Yuanjiang River Basin from 2000 to 2020,the built-up land area increased significantly, and the increased built-up land area mainly came from the transformation of forest land and cultivated land area.(2) The water yield in the Yuanjiang River Basin increased from 2000 to 2020,but the water yield depth did not show a consistent spatial distribution pattern.(3) Based on the driving analysis of 2015 annual water output, precipitation and NDVI were the dominant factors causing the spatial differences of water production service functions.The five driving factors, such as precipitation and temperature, were nonlinearly enhanced, indicating that the interaction between them enhanced the degree of explanation for the spatial differences in ecological service functions of water production.Natural and human factors jointly influenced the spatial-temporal variation of water production service function in Yuanjiang River Basin.Precipitation and NDVI were the main driving forces for the spatial variation of water yield in the Yuanjiang River Basin.The change of land use also had a certain influence on the increase of water yield in the time scale.The results can provide scientific basis for the scientific and reasonable management and sustainable development of the ecological environment in the Yuanjiang River basin.

Key words: InVEST model; land use change; water yield; driving factor; Yuanjiang River Basin;