人民长江 ›› 2023, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (6): 11-18.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2023.06.002

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长江经济带水-能源-粮食-土地耦合协调发展研究

顾茉莉 叶长盛 楼婷婷 李鑫   

  • 发布日期:2023-07-10

Coupling mechanism of coordinated development of land use and water-energy-food systems in Yangtze River Economic Belt

GU Moli YE Changsheng LOU Tingting LI Xin   

  • Published:2023-07-10

摘要: 研究土地利用与水-能源-粮食系统耦合机理和协调发展状况有助于区域资源管理和协同合作。以长江经济带为例,分析了水-能源-粮食-土地系统的耦合协调机理,构建综合评价指标体系,运用耦合协调度模型和空间相关性分析测度研究区2005~2020年水-能源-粮食-土地系统耦合协调发展的时空演变特征和空间联系。结果表明:(1) 2005~2020年长江经济带水-能源-粮食-土地系统综合评价指数不断上升,耦合度达到高水平耦合阶段,耦合协调度经历勉强协调-初级协调-中级协调-良好协调-优质协调5个阶段。(2)各省市间水-能源-粮食-土地系统耦合度达到高水平耦合阶段,协调发展水平处于初级协调和中级协调阶段,总体呈现上游地区>中游地区>下游地区的基本态势。(3)水-能源-粮食-土地系统耦合协调度省域空间集聚度不稳定,空间正负相关性波动强烈,分布格局易发生变动。

关键词: 土地利用;水-能源-粮食;耦合机理;协调发展;长江经济带;

Abstract: Studying the coupling mechanism and coordinated development of land use and water-energy-food systems contributes to regional resource management and synergistic cooperation.Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the case study, this paper analyzed the mechanism of coupled and coordinated development of water-energy-food-land system and constructed a corresponding comprehensive evaluation index system.The coupled coordination degree model and spatial correlation analysis were used to measure the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and spatial linkages of the coupled and coordinated development of water-energy-food-land system in the study area from 2005 to 2020.The results show that:(1) The comprehensive evaluation index of water-energy-food-land system in the Yangtze River Economic Zone from 2005 to 2020 kept rising, the coupling degree reached a high level coupling stage, and the coupling coordination degree went through five stages(barely coordination-preliminary coordination-intermediate coordination-good coordination-high quality coordination).(2) The coupling degree among provinces and cities reached a high level of coupling stage, and the level of coordinated development was at the stage of preliminary coordination and intermediate coordination, showing a trend of upstream areas>midstream areas>downstream areas in general.(3) The spatial concentration of coupling coordination was unstable, the positive and negative spatial correlation fluctuated strongly, and the distribution pattern was prone to change.

Key words: land use; water-energy-food; coupling mechanism; coordinated development; Yangtze River Economic Belt;