人民长江 ›› 2020, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (12): 104-110.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2020.12.021

所属专题: 2020年长江流域洪水防御专辑

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2020年主汛期长江流域暴雨特征及成因分析

邱辉,熊莹,邢雯慧,王乐   

  • 发布日期:2021-01-14

Study on characteristics and causes of rainstorm in Yangtze River Basin during major flood season in 2020

QIU Hui, XIONG Ying, XING Wenhui, WANG Le   

  • Published:2021-01-14

摘要: 为更好地认识2020 年主汛期长江流域的暴雨特性,利用长江流域701个测站多年6~8月逐日降水资料、常规探空资料、美国NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料,对2020年主汛期(6~8月)长江流域降水异常特征及其成因进行了诊断分析。主要结论如下:① 主汛期期间,长江流域有2个明显的降水时段和3个降水中心,分别为6月中旬至7月中旬、8月中旬和长江中下游干流、鄱阳湖水系、嘉岷流域。② 主汛期期间,长江流域具有入梅早、出梅晚、梅雨量大,暴雨强度大、范围广、极端性强,暴雨阶段性分布明显、各阶段强雨区重叠度高等特征。③ 6~7月,欧亚中高纬度为稳定的两脊一槽双阻型态,西太平洋副热带高压脊线位置长时间持续异常,多次北跳未成,导致切变线和梅雨锋长时间维持在长江干流沿线附近;来自南海及太平洋上的东南气流异常强盛,加上极地冷涡活跃、高空冷槽活动频繁,导致了长江中下游暴雨频繁。④ 8月,欧亚中高纬度转换为两槽一脊的环流形势,四川盆地附近处于副热带高压边缘,来自孟加拉湾和南海的暖湿气流偏强,受多个西南涡及多轮冷空气的影响,加上地形和台风的助力作用,导致8月中旬嘉岷流域的极端性强降水持续时间长、位置稳定。

关键词: 暴雨特征; 降水异常; 梅雨期; 大气环流; 2020年长江洪水; 长江流域

Abstract: Precipitation anomalies occurred in the Yangtze River Basin during major flood season (from June to August) in 2020. We collected daily precipitation data of 701 national stations in the Yangtze River from June to August of many years, conventional sounding data and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data to analyze characteristics and causes of this phenomenon. The results showed that: ① There were two obvious precipitation periods and three precipitation centers. The precipitation periods were from mid-June to mid-July and in mid-August. The precipitation centers were the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, Poyang Lake basin,Jialing River and Minjiang River basin. ② During the major flood season, Meiyu period began early, ended late, and precipitation was heavy in the Yangtze River Basin. The rainstorms were characterized by high intensity, wide range and strong extreme, significant rainstorm stage distribution, and high overlapping degree of heavy rain areas in each stage. ③ From June to July, the middle and high latitudes of Eurasia were in a stable double-resistance pattern with two ridges and one trough. The position of the ridge of the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) had been abnormal for a long time, and failed to northward jump for many times. As a result, the shear line and Meiyu front remained near the Yangtze River for a long time. The southeast current from the South China Sea and the Pacific Ocean was extremely strong, in addition, the polar cold vortex and the upper air cold trough were active, which led to frequent rainstorms in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. ④ In August, the circulation situation of the middle and high latitudes in Eurasia transformed into two troughs and one ridge line. The Sichuan Basin was near the edge of WPSH. The warm and wet air that flowed from the bay of Bengal and the South China Sea was relatively strong. The influence of several southwest vortices and cold air, together with the help of topography and typhoon, led to the long duration and stable location of extreme heavy precipitation in Jialing River and Minjiang River basin in mid-August.

Key words: rainstorm characteristic; precipitation anomalies; Meiyu period; atmospheric circulation; Changjiang River Flood in 2020; Yangtze River Basin