人民长江 ›› 2021, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (3): 58-65.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2021.03.010

• • 上一篇    下一篇

基于熵理论流量历时曲线的生态流量变化分析——以1961~2012年黄河流域径流为例

王鑫茹, 崔惠娟, 刘亚平 ,刘星才   

  • 出版日期:2021-03-28 发布日期:2021-04-23

Ecological flow analysis of Yellow River Basin from 1961 to 2012 using flow duration curves based on entropy theory

WANG Xinru, CUI Huijuan, LIU Yaping, LIU Xingcai   

  • Online:2021-03-28 Published:2021-04-23

摘要: 对黄河流域流量和生态流量进行研究,可为黄河流域的水资源科学管理和可持续发展提供科学依据和理论基础。基于黄河流域10个主要水文站的流量观测数据(1961~2012年),利用基于经验的流量历时曲线和基于熵理论的流量历时曲线对径流变化进行了系统分析,进一步估算了生态流量的变化。结果表明:(1) 52 a间黄河流域年径流呈下降趋势。(2)与基于经验的流量历时曲线相比,基于熵理论的流量历时曲线具有灵活性和一定的统计基础,能够较好地呈现该流域的流量历时及频率变化,进而估算生态流量。(3) 20世纪90年代之后,黄河流域各水文站点生态流量呈现总体减少的趋势,该趋势会在一定程度导致各水文站地区生态环境的恶化,影响流域的生态功能。

关键词: 生态流量; 径流变化; 熵理论; 流量历时曲线; 黄河流域;

Abstract: The study of runoff and ecological flow in the Yellow River Basin can provide scientific and theoretical basis for the scientific management and sustainable development of water resources in the Yellow River Basin.Based on the flow observation data of 10 main hydrological stations in the Yellow River Basin(1961~2012),the flow variation was systematically analyzed by using the empirical flow duration curve and entropy-based flow duration curve, and the ecological flow variation was further estimated.The results show that the annual runoff of the Yellow River Basin has declined in the past 52 years.Compared with the flow duration curve based on experience, the flow duration curve based on entropy theory has flexibility and certain statistical basis, which can better show the flow duration and frequency changes in the basin, and then estimate the ecological flow.The results of eco-flow estimation show that after 1990 s, the eco-flow of hydrological stations had showed a general decreasing trend in the Yellow River Basin, which leads to the deterioration of the eco-environment and affect the ecological function of the basin to a certain extent.

Key words: ecological flow; runoff change; entropy theory; flow duration curves; Yellow River Basin;