人民长江 ›› 2022, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (11): 224-231.doi: 10.16232/j.cnki.1001-4179.2022.11.036

• • 上一篇    

三峡库区移民扶贫绩效及其时空分异特征研究

王涛;董亚妮;刘辉;陈俊康   

  • 发布日期:2023-01-17

Performance and spatial-temporal differentiation of poverty alleviation by immigrants in Three Gorges Reservoir area

WANG Tao1,DONG Yani1,LIU Hui2,CHEN Junkang1   

  • Published:2023-01-17

摘要: 为评价三峡工程建设移民扶贫工作前期成效,以2013~2020年度三峡库区经济社会调查数据为依据,采用三阶段EDA模型测算三峡库区移民扶贫绩效,采用Dagum基尼系数及其子群分解法分析了三峡库区移民扶贫绩效的空间差异,采用Kernel密度估计对库区移民扶贫绩效的时间动态演变特征进行了研究。结果表明:三峡库区移民扶贫绩效真实水平整体保持良好,空间上呈现库区中部弱、两端略强的空间差异格局,扶贫绩效在时间上呈现分散化与两极化趋于收敛的特征。据此提出建立巩固脱贫攻坚成果长效机制、健全领导核心体系、发展区域特色产业、促进乡村文明建设4个方面的政策建议。

关键词: 三峡库区移民;移民扶贫绩效;三阶段DEA模型;Dagum基尼系数;Kernel密度估计;

Abstract: To evaluate the early results of the Three Gorges Project migrant poverty alleviation work, based on the 2013 to 2020 economic and social survey data of the Three Gorges Reservoir area, this paper calculated the migrant poverty alleviation performance with the three-stage EDA model, analyzed the spatial differences with Dagum Gini coefficient and subgroup decomposition, and studied the time dynamic evolution characteristics with Kernel density estimation.Results show that, generally speaking, the migrant poverty alleviation performance in the Three Gorges reservoir area is under good condition, showing a spatial difference pattern of weak in the middle and slightly stronger at both ends of the reservoir, and temporal pattern of decentralization and polarization tending to converge.Therefore, this paper puts forward four policy suggestions: establishing a long-term mechanism to consolidate the achievements of poverty alleviation, improving the core leadership system, developing regional characteristic industries and promoting the construction of rural civilization.

Key words: immigration in the Three Gorges Reservoir area;?poverty alleviation performance of immigrants;?three-stage DEA model;?Dagum Gini coefficient;?Kernel density estimation;